POISON IVY
By:
Marc Lawrence |
Saturday, January 13, 2018
With
the college basketball season now in full conference swing, let's examine a
handicapping theory that yields a much better return on your investment than
the banks do these days.
It deals with teams playing back-to-back days
without rest during the regular season. In particular, Ivy League games noted
for playing back-to-back contests on Friday and Saturday nights.
What we're looking to target on is how
brain-chain teams fare the second night of these no-rest
affairs. Let's take a closer look at a few of the more suitable
situations.
Creaky Double Digit Chalk
According to our database, the worst role for
these teams is as double-digit home favorites, where they are just 61-94-4 ATS
overall heading into this year since the 1990-91 season.
Even worse, double-digit favs with a .687 or
greater win percentage are just 23-46 ATS. Digging deeper, if these tired hosts are
laying doubles digits at home facing an opponent that is coming off consecutive
losses they dissolve faster than an Alka Seltzer tablet in a glass of ice-cold
water, going 3-23 ATS. Now that's cold.
Fool Me Twice
Revenge serves as a motivating tool in these
no-rest Ivy League matchups, especially when we bring a visiting team in as a
dog in with double-revenge incentive from a pair of losses suffered last
season.
That's confirmed by a 52-31-2 ATS mark when
these wonder-boys are on the road, including 42-21-1 ATS when taking seven or
more points when fueled with double-revenge incentive.
Better yet, bring these hungry revengers in
off consecutive losses in this role and they make the
Dean's List, going 23-7 ATS.
Triskaidekaphobia Road
Out third and final theorem occurs when these
non-rested Ivy Leaguers are on the Saturday night road off a loss of 13 or more
points.
Dress them up as dogs (or pick) in this role
and they are 70-51-2 ATS, including 41-24 ATS when taking 10 or more
points.
Bring them into these same games with a win
percentage of .400 or less and they ratchet up to 36-14 ATS, including 19-2 ATS
when taking 17 or more points.
There you have it, the perfect calamine
lotion for Ivy League teams in constant motion.
For more of Marc Lawrence click here.