During its first six years of being
an independent team BYU won 52 games, with never fewer than 8 victories in any
one season. Last year, however, the Cougars' fortunes suffered a major plummet,
winning just 4 games behind an offense that ranked that ranked No. 118 in the
nation - worse than Kansas, Rice and Ball State. It was
BYU's first losing season since 2004, making them a true "mission team" - in
more ways than one - this campaign.
If QB Tanner Magnum is good enough
to fend off true freshman Zach Wilson the Cougars could find themselves bowling
by season's end. If not head coach
Kalani Sitake could be issued a declaration of departure. Stay tuned.
Ins And Outs
The
ranks of football independents have increased and decreased with each passing
season since 2011, when BYU left the Mountain West Conference.
It
increased by two teams in 2013 when the Western Athletic Conference dropped
football, paving the way for the inclusion of New Mexico and Idaho. Then is 2014 it lost two teams when Idaho and
New Mexico State became football only members of the Sun Belt Conference. In 2015 Navy bolted for the American Athletic
Conference as a football-only entrant. 2016 saw the addition of UMass, with New
Mexico State returning in 2017. The new
kids on the block, Liberty, join the Independents in 2018 as the revolving door
continues to swing like a turnstile.
Note: Team
write-ups are excerpts from the 2018 PLAYBOOK Football Preview Guide magazine,
on sale at newsstands nationwide. The numbers following each team name
represents the amount of returning starters on offense and defense, along with
the number of returning linemen, with an asterisk (*) designating a returning
quarterback.
ARMY Off - 6/2 Def - 8/1 47
Lettermen
TEAM THEME: MARCHING TO A DIFFERENT DRUM
Thanks to a 10-win effort last year, just the
second of all-time, Army celebrated consecutive winning seasons for the first
time since 1990. Yet they managed it despite going backwards on both sides of
the ball. The formula was simple: The Black Knights were the No. 1 team in the
nation in Rushing Offense, as well as the No. 3 team in Red Zone Defense. This
season they will put a new quarterback behind a rebuilding offensive front
line. And while the defense returns a good portion of last year's starters, it
loses its two best playmakers in DE John Voit and LB Alex Aukerman. Having to
tackle only 3 bowlers this season is a good thing. Facing only one losing foe
away from home is not.
STAT YOU WILL LIKE: Last year was only the second
time that Army defeated Navy and won a bowl game in the same year.
PASS
BYU
Off
- *7/1 Def - 7/3 62
Lettermen
TEAM THEME: MISSION TEAM
A combination of youth and inexperience, with 25
members of the two-deep missing time with injuries, contributed to a rare
losing season for the Cougars last year. It marked their first losing campaign
since 2004, making them a true "mission team" in every sense of the word this
season. And it could well be lights-out for head coach Kalani Sitake should BYU
continue to regress on both sides of the ball for a third-straight year under
his watch. Worse, only four foes on last year's itinerary owned winning seasons
the previous year. More concerning is that in two seasons under Sitake, the
Cougars have forgotten how to pass the football. Fortunately, senior QB Tanner
Magnum returns after a ruptured Achilles tendon curtailed his season last year.
STAT YOU WILL LIKE: QB
Magnum passed for 3,377 yards in 2015 - Bronco Mendenhall's final season as BYU
head coach.
PLAY ON: vs. Utah State (10/5) - *KEY
LIBERTY Off - *9/3 Def -
7/2 44 Lettermen
TEAM THEME: NEW KIDS ON THE BLOCK
Liberty makes its FBS debut in 2018 and if the
name sounds familiar, it should. The Flames torched Baylor, 48-45, as 34-point
dogs in Waco in their season opener last year. The good news is head coach
Turner Gill, the former Nebraska star QB, has had a winning record each of the
six years he's been in Lynchburg. The bad news is he was 25-49 at two other FBS
schools (Buffalo and Kansas) before becoming the lead Flame. Gill did mange to
win the MAC title in 2008. He also beat Coastal Carolina when the Chanticleers
were No. 1 in the FCS at the time. And for what it's worth, LU returns 81% of
its overall production from last season, seventh in the FBS. Bon voyage.
STAT YOU WILL LIKE: Conference USA and the Sun
Belt turned down Liberty, the nations' largest private university, for
admission.
PASS
NEW MEXICO STATE Off
- 6/3 Def - 9/4 49 Lettermen
TEAM THEME: WE CAN DO THIS
Doug Martin was another head coach on the hot seat
last season, sporting a 10-38 record in four seasons with NMSU. Last
year's surprising 7-win bowl effort staved off the inevitable, though. It
was the first bowl season in 57 years for the Aggies - the longest drought of
all FBS teams - and it was capped off with a win over Utah State in the Arizona
Bowl. With that, Martin will finally have a chance to rely on a defense that
improved over 100 YPG last season as just about everyone's back for DC Frank
Spaziani. So dramatic was the improvement that the Aggies yielded 500 yards in
only two games last campaign - after coughing up a nickel or more 26 times in
five previous seasons under Martin's direction. Best of all the Aggies will go
up against easiest schedule of all FBS schools in 2018 with foes going 54-91
(.372) last season.
STAT YOU WILL LIKE: Recently graduated four-year starting
RB Larry Rose III rushed for 4,558 yards and 37 TDs in his career at NMSU.
PLAY ON: vs. Georgia Southern
(10/20)
NOTRE DAME Off - *6/3 Def - 9/3 46 Lettermen
TEAM THEME: NOTRE LAME
As expected, the Irish bounced back from a
disastrous 4-win effort in 2016 to a 10-win campaign last season. That cleansed
a sour taste left from an underachieving November - a pattern that head coach
Brian Kelly has recently developed (see Stat You Will Like below). Meanwhile, the
Dame was hit extra hard by offseason losses with 3 NFL defections (among 4
players selected in the draft, including two All-American 1st-rounders from the
left side of the offensive line), 12 returning starters and 14 players from the
2-deep now gone. In addition, five senior starters from the defense also
graduated. Kelly will turn back to QB Brandon Wimbush, who will need to find receivers
from a depleted unit. Despite Kelly's insistence that this could be one of his
best squads at Notre Dame, we three Hail Mary's are in order.
STAT
YOU WILL LIKE: Since 2011, Kelly has won only 10 of 24 games played from
Halloween on out.
PLAY ON: vs. Stanford (9/29)
UMASS Off - *10/4 Def - 6/1 47
Lettermen
TEAM THEME: SOUND THE CHARGES
Last year's 0-6 start lowered the Minutemen's mark
to 2-22 SU in the first six games of the season under HC Mark Whipple. The good
news, though, is UMass rallied to close 4-2, lending promise to the 2018 season
ahead. However, they'll need to overcome a death-knell-like 3-14 record in
one-possession games under Whipple in order to turn the corner. Behind a
loaded offense that returns QB Andrew Ford (22 TDs and 4 INTs last season) and
nearly his entire front wall, the turn signal has been activated. As our 'Stat
You Will Like' below indicates, last year's unit left a mark in school history
behind a bevy of youngsters that witnessed 33% of all starts by underclassmen.
Sound the alert... here come the Minutemen.
STAT YOU WILL LIKE: The Minutemen gained more
yards than they allowed last year for the first time since becoming an FBS team
in 2012.
Be sure to check back here
next week for Marc's 2018 PAC 12 American Conference Football Preview!
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