Week 5 College Football Betting Trends to Watch From Bruce Marshall

By: Bruce Marshall | Tuesday, September 23, 2014
College_Football

APP STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (Thursday, September 25)...App has won this game SU the past three seasons. But GSU quick 4-0 vs. line from gate in 2014. Tech edge-GSU, based on recent trends.

TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA STATE (Thursday, September 25)...Red Raiders have now dropped eight straight vs. line in reg. season. They've also lost and failed to cover last five vs. OSU. Gundy 36-18-1 vs. line since 2010, 16-7 as Stillwater chalk that span. Tech edge-OSU, based on team and series trends.

UCLA at ARIZONA STATE (Thursday, September 25)...Bruins 0-3 vs. line TY. Todd Graham 9-5 vs. line as Tempe chalk since 2012, 6-3 as Pac-12 home chalk. Tech edge-slight to ASU, based on recent trends.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE at OLD DOMINION (Friday, September 26)...MTSU 3-1 vs. line in 2014 including 2-0 on road. ODU 0-1 as chalk TY. Tech edge-MTSU, based on team trends.

FRESNO STATE at NEW MEXICO (Friday, September 26)...FSU now 5-12-1 last 18 on board since late 2012. But Bulldogs did win and cover last two years vs. Lobos and dropped 69-point bomb on Davie last season. UNM no covers last four as home dog. Tech edge-Fresno, based on series trends.

WYOMING at MICHIGAN STATE...Dantonio just 5-10 last 15 as East Lansing chalk and 2-5 last 7 vs. number hosting non-Big 10 foes. Wyo 18-6 as visiting dog since 2009 (1-0 TY for Bohl). Tech edge-Wyo, based on team trends.

MINNESOTA at MICHIGAN...Little Brown Jug. Hoke has won and covered big vs. Kill past three years, all wins by 22 or more. Gophers 6-3 last nine as dog. Tech edge-slight to Michigan, based on recent series trends.

MARYLAND at INDIANA...IU just 4-6 vs. line last 10 at Bloomington. Terps 8-5 vs. mark last 12 as visitor. Tech edge-Maryland, based on team trends.

BAYLOR at IOWA STATE...Bears 3-0 SU and vs. line TY, also 1-0 as road chalk, a role that had been tough previous for Briles (1-6 previous three years). Baylor now 29-12 last 41 on board. Home team has won and covered last five meetings since 2008 (no game in 2010). Tech edge-Baylor, based on team trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at WISCONSIN...As bad as USF was last season in Taggart Tampa debut, Bulls still covered 4 of 5 as road dog. Andersen 6-3 as DD chalk with Badgers since 2013 but only 1-4 last five vs. line overall. Tech edge-slight to USF, based on road dog numbers.

KENT STATE at VIRGINIA...KSU 5-12 vs. number last 17 on board since late 2012. Cavs have covered first four this season, though Mike London only 3-8-1 last 12 as Charlottesville chalk. Tech edge-slight to Virginia, based on recent trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at VIRGINIA TECH...Beamer 6-13-1 last 20 as home chalk and 14-29-1 last 44 on board. Also 4-13-1 last 18 as DD chalk. WMU 6-2 as visiting dog for P.J. Fleck since LY. Tech edge-WMU, based on team trends.

TEMPLE at UCONN...Temple 6-1 vs. spread away for Rhule (6-0 as dog and 0-1 as chalk). Huskies 0-4 vs. line in Diaco debut, 0-2 as home dog after 19-4 mark in role 2005-13. Tech edge-Temple, based on team trends.

AKRON at PITT...Panthers 6-3 as home chalk for Paul Chryst, Zips 2-4 last six as DD dog for Bowden. Tech edge-Pitt, based on recent trends.

IOWA at PURDUE...Note that road team has won and covered last three years in series. Purdue 2-7 vs. line at Ross-Ade since Hazell arrived LY. Hawkeyes 3-0 as road chalk since 2013. Tech edge-Iowa, based on team trends.

TULANE at RUTGERS...Wave 10-7 vs. spread since 2013. Gers 2-7 last 9 as home chalk. Tech edge-slight to Tulane, based on team trends.

NORTHWESTERN at PENN STATE...James Franklin 3-1 vs. line at PSU, 28-15 vs. spread since 2011 with Vandy & Nittany Lions but lost to Pat Fitz and NU in 2012. Franklin teams are 10-3 as home chalk that span. PSU has won and covered last five in series dating to 2006 (including last three years). Cats on 1-11 spread slump. Tech edge-Penn State, based on series and James Franklin trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at TOLEDO...Rockets have won and covered last four years vs. Chips, and UT 5-1 last six as Glass Bowl chalk. CMU, however, has covered five straight on road. Tech edge-Toledo, based on series trends.

VANDERBILT at KENTUCKY...Dismissing Vandy's James Franklin numbers, also downplaying Vandy's three straight wins and covers vs. UK, which is 3-0 vs. line in 2014. Tech edge-Kentucky, based on current trends.

WAKE FOREST at LOUISVILLE...Petrino 2-0 vs. line at home in 2014, Deacs 9-16 last 25 as road dog. Tech edge-Louisville, based on team trends.

COLORADO STATE at BOSTON COLLEGE...CSU 5-2 last seven as dog away from home for McElwain, also 15-5 last 20 on board since late 2012. BC 6-1 as home chalk since 2012. Tech edge-CSU, based on extended trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at BUFFALO...Bulls 1-5 vs. line last six since late 2013. Buffalo won over Miami 44-7 LY but RedHawks had covered three previous meetings. Miami 3-1 vs. line early TY. Tech edge-Miami-Ohio, based on recent trends.

TEXAS STATE at TULSA...Tulsa 4-11 vs. line since 2013, 1-4 last five as home chalk. Tech edge-Texas State, based on team trends.

UTEP at KANSAS STATE...Bill Snyder 27-14-1 vs. line since 2011. Also 11-5 last 16 vs. mark at Manhattan. UTEP 1-6 as DD dog since 2013 for Kugler (but 1-0 TY). Tech edge-K-State, based on team trends.

LA TECH at AUBURN...Malzahn had covered 13 straight prior to K-State. But La Tech now 3-0 vs. line for Skip Holtz as road dog TY. Tech edge-slight to Auburn, based on recent trends.

BOWLING GREEN at UMASS...This game on UMass campus at McGuirk Stadium. BGSU 6-1 last 7 as visiting chalk (but 0-1 for Babes). Tech edge-slight to BGSU, based on team trends.

COLORADO at CAL...Cal 3-0 vs. line TY after 2-10 spread mark in 2013. Bears 1-0 as Berkeley chalk TY after 0-4 mark previous. MacIntyre teams 16-7 last 23 as dog at SJSU & CU (1-0 TY). Tech edge-slight to Cal, based on recent trends.

TCU at SMU...Ponies 0-3 SU and vs. line TY Frogs 0-4 as visiting chalk since 2012 but have covered four straight overall since late 2013. Tech edge-TCU, based on recent trends.

RICE at SOUTHERN MISS...Rice 9-5 vs. line last 14 as visitor (1-1 TY), Bailiff also 14-8 as chalk since 2008. USM on 7-21 spread slump (and 3-25 SU) since Larry Fedora left town after 2011. Tech edge-Rice, based on team trends.

MISSOURI at SOUTH CAROLINA...Only Tiger home loss LY inflicted by Spurrier. SC has won and covered both meetings since 2012, but Pinkel has covered last five and 8 of last 9 as visitor, however. Tech edge-slight to Mizzou, based in recent Pinkel road marks.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at NAVY...Home team has covered first three WKU games TY (Tops 0-2 away). Navy looks to avenge LY's 19-7 loss on road. Mids on 12-5 spread run since 2013 and have covered 7 of last 10 as chalk. Tech edge-Navy, based on recent trends.

NOTRE DAME vs. SYRACUSE (at Meadowlands)...Irish just 3-6 vs. spread last nine away from South Bend. Cuse 5-2-1 last eight as dog. Tech edge-Syracuse, based on team trends.

ARKANSAS vs. TEXAS A&M (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington)...Sumlin 2-0 SU, 1-1 vs. line against Hogs. Bielema has covered 3 of last 4 away from home all at tough sites. Tech edge-slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.

OREGON STATE at SOUTHERN CAL...Note that Sark ran up 69-27 score on Riley LY. But Beavers are 7-0 as visiting dog the past two seasons. Trojans 2-1 vs. line TY but 12-18 since 2012. Tech edge-OSU, based on Riley road dog trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at CLEMSON...Teams haven't met since 2011. Heels 0-4 as visiting dog past two seasons and are 2-8 vs. points as visitor since 2012. Tech edge-slight to Clemson, based on recent trends.

STANFORD at WASHINGTON...Huskies have covered the past two vs. Tree and won SU in 2012 at Seahawks stadium. David Shaw 13-4 vs. spread as visitor since 2011, however, and Chris Petersen 1-3 as dog with Boise LY. Huskies also 1-3 as dog in 2013. Tech edge-Stanford, based on Shaw road marks.

TEXAS at KANSAS...Weis covered last two years vs. Mack. Horns 1-3 last four as visiting chalk. Weis though just 3-7 last nine vs. line at home and covers just one of last five since late 2013. Tech edge-slight to Texas, based on Weis woes.

TENNESSEE at GEORGIA...Vols have covered last two years in series, but Butch Jones just 6-9 vs. line with Vols and UT 14-25 vs. line since 2011. Tech edge-slight to Georgia, based on recent series trends.

DUKE at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Al Golden 2-10 last 12 on board. Cutcliffe 13-4-1 vs. spread since LY and 6-2 last 8 as dog. Tech edge-Duke, based on recent trends.

FLORIDA STATE at NC STATE...FSU 0-3 vs. line TY. Last year, NCS was one of only two Nole spread Ls in regular season. Wolfpack has actually covered 8 of last 9 meetings! Tech edge-NCS, based on extended series trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at IDAHO...Jags have covered 5 of last 7 away from Mobile. Vandals 2-9 vs. line last 11 at Kibbie. Tech edge-USA, based on team trends.

CINCINNATI at OHIO STATE...Tuberville 2-0 as road dog LY but he was only 5-10 as dog previous three years at Texas Tech. Tech edge-slight to OSU, based on extended Tuberville dog marks.

FIU at UAB...FIU 3-1 vs. line and UAB 2-1 vs. line in 2014, but FIU 2-4 as road dog or Turner. Tech edge-slight to UAB, based on recent FIU road dog marks.

MEMPHIS at OLE MISS...Nearby foes. Tigers 3-0 vs. line TY but Ole Miss also 3-0, pushing Hugh Freeze spread numbers to 30-11 since 2011 at Ark State. Freeze 6-2 as DD chalk with Rebs. Tech edge-Ole Miss, based on Freeze marks.

UTSA at FLORIDA ATLANTIC...Coker 13-6 last 19 on board with UTSA. And 10-4 last 14 vs. line as visitor. But FAU 19-6 last 25 overall vs. spread. Tech edge-slight to UTSA, based on Coker road marks.

TROY at UL-MONROE...ULM has won and covered last three meetings , but 3-7 as home chalk since 2012. Tech edge-slight to ULM, based on series trends.

WASHINGTON STATE at UTAH...Leach was 5-0 as visiting dog LY, though home team has covered last three in series. Utes 3-0 SU and vs. spread in 2014. Tech edge-slight to WSU, based on recent Leach road dog mark.

BOISE STATE at AIR FORCE...Force 5-17 vs. line last 22 at Falcon Stadium. Harsin teams at Ark State & Boise are 10-2 last ten vs. line since late 2013, and Broncs 23-9 as visiting chalk since 2008. Tech edge-Boise, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at LSU...Hat only 6-9 last 15 laying 20 or more and 4-6-1 last 11 vs. line hosting non-SEC. But Ags only 8-19 last 27 getting 20 or more and are 2-9-1 since 2012 as road dog. Tech edge-LSU, based on NMSU negatives.

ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA...Bo Pelini won and covered 39-19 LY. Huskers 11-6 last 16 as Lincoln chalk, also 9-5 overall last 14 laying DD. Illini 1-8 as road dog for Beckman since 2012. Tech edge-Nebraska, based on team trends.

UNLV at SAN DIEGO STATE...Hauck has covered last two in series but Rebs just 7-21 vs. spread away from Sam Boyd since Bobby arrived in 2010. Rocky Long 5-8 as DD chalk since 2011 but 8-3-1 last 12 on board. Tech edge-SDSU, based on UNLV road woes.

NEVADA at SAN JOSE STATE...SJSU 3-4 vs. line at home since Pack 4-1 vs. line last five since late LY. Tech edge-Nevada, based on team trends.

Click here to get all of Bruce's picks.
 
 
Real-Time Odds - it's what the pros use
 
Quick, Easy, Just For You
 
XML Feeds to power your apps
 
Expert Picks to grow your bankroll, start winning NOW!
 
Organize your plays with our Rotation Schedules