2019 AFC South Preview
By:
Jim Feist |
Tuesday, August 6, 2019
The AFC South consists of
the Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Tennessee Titans and the Houston
Texans. When I look at the head coaches of each of these clubs, I see the
Colts as the number one club with Frank Reich leading the way. I put the Houston Texans last with Bill
O'Brien. The Jaguars' Doug Marrone and Titans' Mike Vrabel are about even and middle
of the division, though many would argue that Marrone will be the first fired
this year from within the AFC South. I'm not so sure about that, since I think
it might O'Brien with the Texans.
The top QB in the division
is Andrew Luck of the Colts. Nick Foles, Marcus Marietta and Deshaun Watson are
the other three and while I believe they're very talented signal-callers, I
might have to place the Jags' Foles as the second best in the division. Foles
has not ventured outside his great success with the Philadelphia Eagles, so
he's my 2nd pick at this point. Many people would argue that Watson
is the best and I might agree if not for his style of play and lack of
protection.
Offensive lines I would rank
the Colts as having the best in this group and the Texans number last. The
Texans OL is so poor that Watson may not make it through the whole season
without a significant injury. Watson is a very talented, running QB that keeps
everyone entertained and has the potential to be a big winner in this league.
However, it's his lack of protection from those in front of him could be what
finishes his season. I don't feel the Texans did a good job rebuilding their
offensive line in the off season, after a horrendous 2018 where they didn't
protect Watson.
The Colts offensive line
is solid, and Luck was well protected in last season. Luck missed two years
mostly due to poor offensive line play, poor coaching and upper management
decisions. Their offensive line is solid this season and that's primarily why I
feel the Colts will win this division. They will give Luck the protection he
needs to win games.
Jacksonville is always a
solid defensive team but lacked that something extra on the offensive side of
the ball. They went out and acquired Foles from the Eagles and that could be
the key that makes this team dangerous in 2019. I like Tom Coughlin being the
team's Executive Vice President because he gives them a heady front office
leadership. However, I don't think they're going to be quite good enough to win
that division even, though they did two years ago. Vegas agrees with me that
the Colts are the team to beat. The Colts win total was put at 9.5-games by
Vegas while the other three teams all come in at about 8-games. That tells the
whole story in this division.
Let's see if we can pick
our spots to win some money. The Colts over/under win total is 9 1/2 with the
over favored at -1.48. That is a steep price and because of the juice,
you are really betting over 10 if you choose to go that way. Personally, I will
wait until training camp begins to show us more before investing on this total.
Right Now I lean Over the total on the Colts.
The Texans are at 8 1/2
wins, with the under a hefty -1.56. I'm not a big fan of their head
coach, the offensive line issues and their constant defensive injuries. Yes, I
know the Texans won the division last year, but I feel they had a ton of breaks
go their way to achieve this and that just won't happen in 2019. I only like
the under in this spot and only wish I could catch a total of 9-games, but then
the juice would be even higher.
The Titans total is listed
at 8-games with the under as the -1.30 chalk. This is a reasonable price and
I'll be grabbing a little under for the pocket change. I see much the same from
this team as I have from the past seasons. The best word to describe the Titans
once again is average from the front office on down to the field.
Vegas has the Jags win
total at 8-games and the under juiced at -1.43. The jags made a big move to
bring in Foles. This is a club that was very viable two years ago and, in my
opinion, will be more solid heading into this year. With Foles at the helm I
expect more out of this year's edition of the Jaguars. I'm betting over the 8-game
total. In summary, this is a very tight group but for a few leans one way or
the other. The solid line play coupled with the upgrade at quarterback makes
all the difference for me here. We all know injuries can and will be an
issue throughout the league, so don't go too crazy with your futures.
Check out Jim Feist's picks here.