NFL Line Watch Week 3
By:
Art Aronson |
Monday, September 18, 2017
NFL Line Watch Week 3
Each week during the pro football season, AAA Sports
looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet
later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.
Game to bet on now
Kansas City at Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5)
Smart bettors have already taken advantage in this one. The
line opened at Chargers +3.5 in many places, and has been bet down to +2.5 –
which means that wagerers might be able to win both ways if the Chiefs wind up
winning by a field goal. And that’s very possible. All that aside, Kansas City
needs this one to keep pace with Denver and Oakland in the ultra-strong AFC
West. In fact, it’s imperative that the Chiefs avoid any leaks over the next
three weeks because of a sadistic five-game (Pittsburgh, Oakland, Denver,
Dallas, Giants) gauntlet that stares them in the face stating in mid-October.
Now’s the time to take advantage of the Chargers, who are reeling after losing
in their home opener to Miami before a lot of empty seats in their first game
since moving from San Diego.
Game to wait on
Houston at New England (-13)
Heavy line on this game, the product of the Texans’ poor
offensive performance in Cincinnati last Thursday and the Patriots’ 36-point
output at New Orleans on Sunday. And also lots of uncertainty, especially
considering the Patriots’ mounting injury problems on both sides of the ball.
Just when NE seemed to have figured out what to do in Julian Edelman’s absence,
other wideouts have gone down, further reducing Tom Brady’s options. And now
comes word that LB/DE Dont’a Hightower (hurt knee in the opener vs. KC) has
been seen by Dr. James Andrews – and it’s rarely good when your name and
Andrews are mentioned in the same sentence. Might be a good idea to cool on
this one until the injury reports are announced and we get some kind of idea
what the Pats will have on the field.
Total to watch
Oakland at Washington (53.5)
Looks like the Raiders are going to have one of their best
teams in recent memory just as they get set to jump ship to Las Vegas. The
competition (Titans, Jets) hasn’t put up much of a fight, but it’s the NFL and
the Raiders have 71 points on the board through two games. Derek Carr is off to
a terrific start (5 TD passes and the third-ranked QB) through two games, and
Washington has not shown a lot so far this season. Washington is average
offensively, but should put some points on the board in what has the look and
feel of a high-scoring game unless there are significant weather issues.
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