NFL Line Watch Week 8
By:
Art Aronson |
Tuesday, October 24, 2017
Game to bet now
Minnesota at Cleveland (+9.5)
After going 1-15 last season, is it possible for the Browns
to actually be worse than that this year? Cleveland will have reached the
halfway mark of this season by this time next week, and you'd be hard-pressed
to find anyone outside of Northeast Ohio who thinks they can reverse things and
find a way to put up a W. Didn't you just KNOW that they would lose last
Sunday? How bad is it? A Browns promotion to give a prize to one fan when awry
when the seat chosen at random was unoccupied. Oh, and their best lineman
(tackle Joe Thomas, who hasn't missed a game since 2007, looks lost for the
year with a triceps tear. Money is already heavy on the Vikings, moving the
line a full two points from 7.5. Expect more Minnesota money to change the line
even more, so if you like Minnesota, best jump now.
Game to wait on
Dallas at Washington (+1)
Ten of the 16 teams in the NFC, including these two, have
either two or three losses. Catching 6-1 Philadelphia is hardly out of the
question, but this division game is vital for both when tie-breakers to
determine playoff draws will almost certainly come into play. At 3-3 the
Cowboys have to be a disappointment to National Anthem-obsessed owner Jerry
Jones, but they better get their act together soon if they want to play in the
post-season - next up are Kansas City, (at) Atlanta and Philadelphia.
Washington (also 3-3), meanwhile, has a slightly easier schedule and would like
nothing better than to slap down the Boys and take a giant step toward turning
the East into a two-team race with Philadelphia.
Total to watch
Miami at Baltimore (37.5)
Lines in the high-30s/low-40s range were unicorns in recent
years, but they seem to be coming back. The Dolphins are the
second-lowest-scoring team in the league (thank you, Cleveland) and their 1-5
record against the over reflects that. Jay Cutler has one of the lowest QB
ratings in the league (78.8). Still, there are signs that things might be
moving in the right direction. The Fins have won three in a row, and in their
last two games (Atlanta, Jets) have actually been able to move the ball. Miami
(4-2 SU) is in the thick of it in a rejuvenated AFC East. Baltimore's offense
has been all over the map, and inconsistent QB Joe Flacco is being asked
questions like "Is the offense completely broken?" Yikes.
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